Latihan shadowing: Why Groceries Are SO Expensive Now
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- Aids, milk, bread, ground beef, butter.0:01
- Prices at the grocery store are going up, especially for people who spend a large amount of their income on food.0:04
- So a little price shock can have huge effects.0:10
- Grocery prices that usually go up one or 2 % a year have started jumping to more like 13 % a year.0:12
- Prices are going up yet again.0:19
- Sticker shock on store shelves.0:20
- You probably don't need to be reminded.0:22
- Now, of course, everyone's blaming COVID and broader inflation.0:24
- And while those are a part of the explanation, there's actually something bigger going on here.0:27
- I mean, check this out.0:32
- Food companies are bringing in record profits.0:33
- CEOs of those companies are making way more just in the last few years.0:35
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- And shareholders are getting huge payouts.0:38
- So what is going on here?0:40
- That is a question I have had for a long time and we're sitting here in the kitchen, which is also our studio.0:42
- And I thought, you know, gotta use it sometime.0:48
- So why not on the video about food?0:51
- Today we're gonna understand our food system, the vast complicated kind of magical food system that provides a lot of us with our nourishment, bringing food from all around the0:53
- world to our grocery store shelves.1:01
- And then we're gonna look at the corporations behind this system.1:03
- I wanna understand what their incentives are, what their power is, and what they have to do, if anything, with the rising prices.1:06
- I also wanna understand why they're making so much money right now.1:12
- And ultimately, I want to answer what and who is behind this massive increase in grocery store prices.1:14
- About 8 ,000 years ago, in what today is Syria and Iraq, you could find humans doing something that was pretty unique for the time.1:22
- They're growing food, and in fact, more food than they actually needed, and then started trading it with other people who had more than they needed.1:30
- Now, this was new.1:38
- If there was one group who lived near a salt mine and another group who grew wheat, it would both make a surplus, it would swap their goods, and both1:39
- would be better off.1:45
- A super basic idea that changed everything.1:46
- Humans started doing this at a more and more massive scale.1:49
- Crossing seas and deserts, building empires to move goods, to share tools to spread ideas, and the collective human focus became how do we do this better, bigger?1:52
- We invented technology to improve it.2:02
- We fought wars over it.2:04
- We created money and companies and laws, entire systems, just to trade more stuff with more people.2:05
- Trade was changing the world, and a lot of the history of our world is the history of trade.2:11
- It's what spread ideas and technology and flavors around the globe.2:16
- Arabic math and Chinese inventions, tomatoes arriving to Italy, chilies arriving to Asia, corn to Africa.2:20
- Coffee arrives to Europe in like the 1500s and blows everyone's minds, contributes to a whole revolution in thinking.2:27
- It's good coffee, guys.2:38
- But despite all of this global trade and improvement in connecting the world and bringing flavors everywhere, food still remained quite expensive.2:39
- You still had to work really hard just to feed yourself and your family.2:47
- Agriculture and food preparation required immense physical labor, involving entire households in the effort to produce sufficient calories to survive.2:50
- Like, we have data from the late 1700s that shows that people in Britain spent 75 % of their income just feeding themselves.2:58
- Around the same time in France, they were spending about 70 % of their income on bread alone.3:06
- Oh my God.3:13
- Is there anything better than just white bread?3:15
- Okay, but soon that started changing and fast.3:17
- Let's graph it.3:20
- Look what happens by the year 1900.3:22
- Household is spending more like 42 % of their income on food.3:24
- Then in the 30s, it goes down to 34%, just keeps falling.3:27
- After World War II, something really dramatic changes in the global economy.3:30
- The US and its allies built a global economic system meant to connect the globe.3:36
- Maybe if everyone's economy was connected, it would all be benefiting too much to fight each other.3:41
- Was kind of the thinking.3:46
- And America wanted to set the rules for everyone and they successfully did.3:47
- And with this new system comes a whole new level of efficiency and connection.3:51
- Like these magical boxes that can go seamlessly from ships to trains to trucks.3:55
- Stratically cutting costs and loading time.4:00
- The world standardized around everything from railroad sizes, pallet sizes, paper sizes, bar codes, shoe sizes, screw sizes.4:03
- It's invisible stuff.4:10
- This isn't sexy, but it's important.4:11
- It's transformative, the whole idea being that if everyone's using the same system, everything everywhere becomes more efficient.4:13
- Trade gets better.4:19
- Now a tractor part made in South Korea snaps in nicely to a tractor in Kansas.4:20
- And then there was the US dollar that everyone could use as the global currency along with international agreements that laid the rules for modern trade.4:24
- Suddenly it's like the 1950s and the whole world is being stitched together in ways our ancient grain trading ancestors could have never imagined.4:31
- This is why today almost everything you touch has gone to more countries than you have.4:40
- Because it traverses a huge network of the global economy.4:45
- We call it the supply chain.4:49
- Like look at an iPhone, albeit kind of cracked.4:52
- This iPhone traveled to 43 countries before it ended up in my hands.4:55
- Okay, but food isn't an iPhone.4:59
- Food is squishy and perishable and needs to kind of be refrigerated.5:01
- It doesn't go through the same like advanced global supply chain that other stuff does, right?5:06
- Wrong, actually.5:10
- This is a beautiful tomato that was grown here in my local area that I bought at a farmer's market.5:13
- Full disclosure, did not buy this.5:20
- My producer bought it and I am holding it now and I will probably eat it with this bread and this coffee after I'm done shooting this video.5:22
- Anyway, this costs six bucks.5:29
- Okay, this is a six dollar tomato.5:30
- Take it in.5:32
- That beautiful tomato.5:33
- Wow, shoots really nicely.5:34
- Five miles from my house.5:35
- Okay, then we've got these tomatoes.5:37
- They don't look that much different, little more uniform.5:39
- These are tomatoes that came from the global economy.5:41
- They're all basically the exact same size.5:44
- These have come to me from very far away, not in this country.5:46
- We actually do grow a lot of tomatoes here in the United States over in California, but most of our tomatoes are grown in Mexico.5:49
- Four billion pounds a year come into the US.5:55
- So, here we are in northern Mexico, here in these endless fertile fields.5:57
- I've actually spent a lot of time in this region, not as a journalist, but as a Mormon missionary, riding in pickup trucks through fields that grow food destined for6:02
- US grocery stores.6:10
- En fuente.6:12
- Oh!6:13
- Anyway, let's not look at my bad Spanish.6:15
- Let's talk about the journey of a tomato.6:16
- They're often picked while they are still green.6:18
- They're not ripe yet.6:20
- Often picked by hand and then loaded into trucks.6:21
- A tomato like this will often go into a sealed room where they are gassed with ethylene to ripen them.6:24
- Ethylene is just a naturally occurring hormone that helps ripen these guys.6:29
- They want them to all ripen at the same time, right as they get to the grocery store.6:33
- But we have a long way to go before we get to the grocery store.6:36
- So they're pumped with this gas.6:38
- And then if they're going into cans, which a lot of tomatoes do, they go through this industrial factory wizardry.6:39
- But for the ones that are gonna end up like this, fresh, they are on a truck headed north.6:45
- They end up in a nearby city, probably the capital, Culiacan, in this big facility where they are sorted, chilled, and then put on big pallets.6:51
- They get back onto a truck, which by the way, all of these trucks are refrigerated.6:58
- That's a big logistical challenge to make sure these things don't get too hot or cold.7:02
- And now the truck is heading north.7:06
- It gets to the US -Mexico border.7:07
- Look, this is where people go back and forth between the two countries.7:09
- But over here is a special border crossing just for trucks.7:12
- Our tomatoes are in one of these.7:15
- It clears customs, and then it probably ends up at one of these transfer stations, where the trailer might be transferred onto another truck to an American driver who will7:16
- take it from there.7:24
- The tomatoes are now in the United States.7:25
- Once in the US, they might be re -ripened and repackaged, and they eventually take a long haul trip on America's freeways, ending up at a distribution center, like this7:26
- one in Illinois.7:36
- Here, tucked into the endless expanse of farmland, is this massive building surrounded by cargo trucks.7:36
- The tomatoes are unloaded, they're scanned for inventory, they're repackaged, and then they're back on the road, headed towards the grocery store.7:42
- And I promise I'm getting close here.7:49
- Okay, we've arrived at the grocery store.7:50
- This whole journey was nine days, about 1 ,000 kilometers, or 620 miles, and the tomatoes are finally stacked in the vegetable aisle, ready for you to buy a pound7:52
- for $2.8:00
- Bring them home, chop them up, and throw them into a sauce.8:01
- Bon appetit.8:04
- That was crazy, right?8:06
- Like that whole journey, like your tomatoes, came all the way from a farm in Mexico, and they somehow made it to the grocery store without being smashed or going8:07
- bad, and are somehow significantly cheaper than this.8:15
- How does that work?8:19
- Like, how does that make any sense?8:20
- And it's not just tomatoes.8:21
- Avocados are picked by hand in southern Mexico, sorted, chilled, trucked, and displayed in the northeast of the United States in the dead of winter for like three bucks.8:26
- Most of our vegetables in the United States come from other countries, like 60%.8:36
- And of course, you can imagine that it gets more complicated with animal products, eggs, milk, meat.8:40
- But this is your food system, our food system.8:46
- The majority of us participate in this food system.8:48
- Wait, pause.8:51
- I'm about to get into the part where I say why the food is more expensive, and these journeys are really important.8:52
- But I wouldn't be able to make these videos without sponsors, and so I need to take a moment to thank today's sponsor, who is Incogni.8:57
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- Turns out that in the same way that there's a big, invisible market for tomato shipping, there's also an invisible market for your data, your name, your birthday, what you9:12
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- We wouldn't be able to make these videos without them.11:17
- Okay, let's dive back in to the supply chain, the tomato journey, and the answer to this very important question.11:18
- So why is food suddenly way more expensive?11:27
- Well, there are two answers to that question that we're about to get to.11:31
- The first one will make a lot of intuitive sense because we just traced the journey of a tomato.11:34
- The second one will boil your blood.11:39
- Answer number one, something happens along the way.11:41
- Like, let's go back to this map.11:45
- And you see that in this journey, your tomatoes passed through farmers and packages and cold storage and drivers and customs brokers, international trade treaties, warehouses, wholesalers, grocery stores.11:46
- If any part of this system breaks or becomes more expensive, or if there's a power outage or a storm or a frost or a drought or gas prices spike,11:58
- workers go on strike, there's a new tariff, that can make any one of these steps more expensive.12:09
- And it is you, the final customer who will pay that price.12:14
- We call this a supply chain shock or shortage.12:17
- And it's kind of ironic that the system that makes food more accessible and cheaper is also the same system that makes our prices fragile.12:19
- So yeah, that's answer number one, supply chain shocks.12:28
- And over the last four years, I mean, you know, there's kind of been a lot.12:31
- There was obviously COVID, but that was just the beginning of a domino effect.12:36
- There was a drought in the Mediterranean, so olive oil prices went up.12:40
- The climate related issues have screwed up fresh produce.12:42
- At large, there are both climate stuff that affects how much you can grow, but also sometimes climate then interacts with like disease outbreaks.12:45
- They freeze in Texas, wiped out a bunch of citrus.12:53
- These farmers are experiencing some of the worst conditions ever.12:55
- Because of the drought, the ground is just not fit for grazing and like many others, the rancher here has had to call his herd because it's more economical than12:59
- feeding them.13:05
- Russia's invasion of Ukraine messed with a lot of industries.13:06
- The war in Ukraine spiked wheat prices there for a little bit and also spiked fertilizer prices.13:09
- And the issue is Russia controls one type of fertilizer, but not two others.13:14
- And so it meant farmers had to like retool all of their systems to switch to the other fertilizer.13:18
- And then there was a run on those two fertilizers.13:23
- Oh, palm oil got really screwed up there for a while because Indonesia decided to temporarily ban exports because prices were increasing so much that they wanted to make sure13:26
- that they had enough supply.13:34
- This was also kind of in the wake of Ukraine.13:35
- And so vegetable oil prices were up.13:37
- A hurricane in Florida messes with orange groves.13:40
- The Houthi rebels in Yemen are firing rockets at these merchant ships that are the lifeblood of the global economy.13:42
- Canada, the largest producer of kanoma oil had a big drought.13:48
- And so that dropped meat processing during the pandemic.13:51
- There were massive COVID outbreaks in meat packing.13:54
- And so they had slowed down a lot of line speeds because there were fewer workers.13:57
- And so just like less meat was getting slaughtered and packaged.14:02
- And then of course there were shortages in random things like packaging and trucking and cold storage and shipping containers.14:05
- During COVID production of aluminum cans was lower because factories were closed, but then trade wars over aluminum has affected hands.14:12
- And so for a while, soda was being affected and beer were being affected.14:19
- Each shock to the system triggers a reverberation through the rest of the system, which makes things more expensive and unpredictable.14:22
- The price goes up and eventually the price of your final product, the thing you see on the grocery aisle has gone up.14:31
- Okay, so no one's disputing that supply chain shocks are a major reason why prices have gone up.14:37
- But this isn't actually the full explanation.14:43
- There's something bigger going on here.14:45
- And that gets to my second answer to the question of why grocery prices are more expensive.14:47
- I'll just say it upfront here, which is we've all been kind of tricked.14:51
- And there are people making a lot of money off of us being tricked about prices.14:55
- Basically in COVID, I think there was kind of a reckoning of customers were pretty understanding when companies said, hey, you're going through hard times and so are we.15:00
- Like our costs are going up.15:09
- There was kind of this reset.15:10
- The American consumer has gotten so used to having a really cheap thing delivered to their door in like two hours, right?15:11
- Like an econ 101, they teach you about a supply and a demand curve, right?15:19
- And as you increase prices, the number of units you sell goes down.15:22
- And what you're trying to do is like maximize those two things.15:26
- So like I can sell as many products as I can make for as much as this and like that's the price.15:29
- The invisible hand too.15:34
- Right, yes.15:35
- And so if you increase prices, you expect intuitively to sell a little bit less.15:36
- Now you can like jigger it enough that like the total is a little bit higher.15:41
- But what companies realized is they could inch prices up and see no or very little reduction in consumer demand.15:46
- And so they kept doing it.15:53
- This will be clear very soon because there's a lot of examples of this, but the best one that is on my mind is eggs.15:54
- The egg prices out of control.16:00
- Eggs are insanely expensive right now.16:03
- Maybe by the time you're watching this, they will have gone down a little bit, but over the last like three, four years, egg prices have gone crazy.16:05
- And what's the explanation that we're all hearing?16:11
- Yes, the bird flu, calling millions of hens bird flu.16:13
- Bird flu, bird flu.16:18
- Already more than 90 million birds have been killed since the outbreak started.16:19
- I mean, if you are an egg producer and suddenly there's an outbreak of bird flu in all of your farms, like that's a huge deal.16:23
- That'd be like really terrible, right?16:31
- For your business, you're like, man, our product is being killed by a flu.16:33
- And wait a minute.16:37
- U .S.'s biggest egg producers profits triple as prices soar.16:39
- Wait, triple profits for the biggest egg producer.16:45
- Oh, and if you look at the biggest egg producers stock price, you see this, right around the time when the avian flu is happening, their stock price is going16:49
- nuts.16:58
- Time to get out their annual report.16:59
- Annual report for Calmain Foods Inc.17:02
- They're a privately traded company.17:05
- They must disclose all of their financials, which means we can get a little more insight as to how they fared during this time when there is a crisis in17:06
- our egg economy.17:16
- All of us are paying like more than double the price for a dozen of eggs.17:17
- This is 2023 and it looks like its shareholders got paid $250 million in profits.17:22
- Okay, it's right in the middle of the bird flu crisis.17:30
- You wouldn't think that they would be profiting that much, but is that a lot?17:33
- $250 million?17:36
- Maybe that's not that much.17:37
- Let's graph the dividends the profits paid out to shareholders.17:38
- Whoa, okay.17:44
- Well, 2023 was a great year for the largest egg producer in the United States, despite all of this avian flu.17:45
- So in 2023, they paid $250 million the year before they paid $6 million.17:55
- So they had a 40 times increase in the profits they paid out to their shareholders right in the heart of when all of us were going to restaurants and17:59
- seeing these signs, we're raising prices on eggs because there's a bird flu.18:07
- So we have to pay more.18:10
- But the company making the eggs is profiting a lot more money.18:11
- That's not just revenue.18:14
- It's not like they're making more money and their costs have increased a bunch.18:15
- They are profiting.18:18
- They are making way more money after all of their costs and we are all paying more.18:20
- Oh, and this year, 2025, their profits are up 342 % in Q2 of this year.18:25
- I mean, just to, Mike, drop, like, drive this home, let's put these two graphs next to each other.18:31
- This one is the price for a dozen eggs.18:36
- It's gone up a ton because of bird flu and this one is profits for shareholder of CalMain Foods going up at the same time.18:38
- So these graphs tell a story of a company who was able to raise prices more than what they needed to to cover their costs and they were somehow able18:45
- to do that.18:51
- Can we just look at the supply of eggs in the United States just real quick?18:51
- This graph, there's the price.18:58
- Price goes up here, right?18:59
- Now let's draw on the number of eggs produced in the United States during this time.19:00
- Here's the outbreak of the avian flu early 2023.19:05
- Now I'm going to draw on the number of eggs produced in the United States.19:08
- If I were guessing, I hadn't seen this chart before, I would imagine it would look something like this, like eggs, eggs, eggs, flu happens, production of eggs plummets.19:13
- When there's less supply, prices have to go up and that's why prices went up.19:20
- Now let's draw on the real shape.19:24
- Again, number of eggs producing United States.19:25
- Boom, kind of barely dips.19:27
- Yes, avian flu was a real thing.19:29
- I'm not like drawing some like conspiracy theory here that like this is not real, but like this crisis was as much about storytelling as it was about supply and19:31
- demand.19:39
- We all accepted way higher prices because of these signs, because of all of this news.19:39
- And in fact, thanks to COVID, we were kind of used to hearing about supply chains and paying higher prices and waiting longer because of something that's out of our19:45
- control.19:53
- This is the driver of inflation, right?19:54
- But what this story tells is that there's a company that by the way controls 25 % of the market.19:56
- They're a huge player, the largest player by far in the egg economy that has the ability to raise prices even when they don't need to increase costs.20:02
- And that company, by the way, if you chart how many eggs they were making, during the crisis, they were actually making more eggs and just selling them at a20:10
- way higher price.20:18
- So of course their profits tripled.20:19
- Of course their shareholders made off with huge dividends.20:21
- You can read a lot more about this in a couple really good reports that were very helpful for our reporting.20:24
- One of which concludes that corporations have used this outbreak, the avian flu, as a smoke screen for raising prices beyond what was necessary to cover any rising costs.20:29
- This is the kind of stuff that happens when one company owns a huge portion of an industry.20:40
- They just have a ton of control and they're able to manipulate the market.20:46
- That is supposed to be a competitive space where all the firms compete for customers by lowering their prices as much as they possibly can.20:50
- But our modern food system has become more and more consolidated.20:56
- Four firms handle 85 % of all beef processing in the US.21:00
- Three companies control 78 % of all pasta.21:04
- Two firms own 70 % of the cantuna industry.21:07
- One company dominates seed genetics.21:10
- 70 % of all grocery stores flow through just four chains.21:13
- This level of consolidation means that companies don't compete on prices, they match prices and when there is a crisis, they're able to take advantage of that to help spread21:17
- the narrative and signal to the rest of us that prices have gone up because of this crisis and really they're just patting their bottom line.21:27
- There's a bunch of lawsuits happening right now because of this.21:33
- McDonald's is suing meat companies for colluding to keep prices high.21:35
- Frozen potatoes for your french fries.21:40
- Also very consolidated.21:42
- Also some price manipulation allegations there.21:43
- A big turkey producer is in the middle of a price fixing scandal.21:46
- They've had to pay out settlements.21:49
- $32 million here, $4 million there.21:51
- I mean this is kind of a cost of doing business when you are a big industrial food producer and you use your power to cash in.21:54
- So we've been told a story that these crises, COVID and supply chain shocks are at the root of inflation of prices going up.22:00
- But there's now pretty compelling evidence that corporate profits, the ability to take advantage of these crisis to raise prices above where they need to be is a major driver22:08
- of inflation.22:16
- Meaning we're paying more money and we're making these companies way richer.22:17
- Corporate profits are at an all time high despite some volatility in the economy.22:21
- Last year margins reached over 16 % which is the highest on record since 1950.22:26
- And it's not just in food, it's across all sectors.22:31
- The CFO of Hershey in 2023 said on an earnings call to the company shareholders quote, pricing and productivity gains more than offset inflation and higher manufacturing and overhead costs.22:34
- In non Wall Street speak that says, we increased our prices well above what our increased costs were.22:46
- Like our costs for sugar, cocoa, et cetera have gone up but we have been able to not only pass all of those costs onto consumers but then some increasing22:54
- our profit margin.23:03
- Hershey's wasn't the only company to say this.23:04
- Virtually like the vast majority of S &P 500 companies said this Frito -Lay and PepsiCo for example, did the same thing where they said, we've been able to rapidly23:06
- increase kind of our pricing actions is what they call them which is these increasing prices.23:15
- So profits are soaring while a family of four who's surviving on a thrifty food plan is seeing their costs for food increase by 30 % or more over the23:20
- last few years.23:31
- More and more are turning to government programs.23:32
- And so now our taxpayer dollars are going to help inflated prices to make shareholders rich.23:34
- It's not a good setup.23:41
- It's not a good set of incentives.23:42
- It's not a free market.23:44
- This isn't good.23:45
- And yet luckily there is some hope here.23:46
- The Department of Justice is already investigating this egg price fixing allegation.23:48
- Calmain has already been accused of doing this in previous disease outbreaks.23:53
- Now the largest supplier of eggs in the US now under federal investigation related to sky high prices that consumers saw for several months.23:58
- But what really needs to happen is a breaking up of these food companies that have so much power in the market.24:06
- Food isn't like other things.24:12
- It's not like vacations and cars and things that are discretionary.24:14
- It is our basic survival.24:18
- We have antitrust laws.24:19
- We have other laws that protect small businesses.24:21
- And this current crisis is rejuvenating a discourse around seeing what the government can do to actually make prices more affordable to everyday Americans.24:24
- There's also a necessary reckoning with how reliant we are on these far flung supply chains.24:33
- COVID really started this.24:39
- And you're starting to see more and more stuff come regional and local.24:40
- Mexico is experimenting with the government coming in and putting a price control for a basic basket of food using their power to negotiate with food corporations to keep prices24:44
- affordable for the basics.24:54
- One place that grocery prices really didn't increase all that much was Mexico.24:56
- And that's because Claudia Scheinbaum's administration did this thing called in Spanish, it translates to basic basket.24:59
- And so for the equivalent of like $40, you can get enough food to feed your family of like rice, beef, a couple of vegetables, a gallon of milk, these25:05
- basics.25:13
- And in fact, that price has come down by like 12 % over the past year.25:14
- And she did this, it's effectively a price control, but it's a voluntary.25:17
- So in fact, Walmart of Mexico participates in this program.25:21
- But she got a bunch of farmers and suppliers and retailers to all buy into this program.25:24
- They should negotiate this big deal.25:30
- And they all offer like a basic basket of goods for a low price for Mexican families.25:31
- She just used kind of the weight of the government to say, hey, I think grocery should be cheaper for Mexicans and how can we work together to do it?25:36
- So there is some movement happening here.25:52
- The reality is our food system is amazing.25:54
- It has made food much cheaper than it was, but it has some real weaknesses, weaknesses that are being exposed in the last few years and that a lot of25:57
- people are feeling when they go to the grocery store.26:06
- Those are market failures.26:08
- And that is where the government steps in to ensure that our food system works for the consumers, the people who need to be able to rely on affordable food26:10
- and not for the corporations that provide it.26:17
Terukur di klip ini
- Kecepatan
- 207 kata per menit — lebih cepat dari 66% katalog
- Tingkat CEFR
- B2
- Bentuk singkat di sini
- gonna ×3, wanna ×2, gotta
- Kata yang perlu diketahui
- interacts, wholesalers, participates, pallets, ripened, chilies